TY CONF TI APPLICATION OF INTELLIGENT TRANSPORT SYSTEM TOOLS FOR FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS IN THE URBAN TRANSPORT SYSTEM KW intelligent transportation systems KW road traffic safety KW accident forecasting KW proactive management KW probabilistic-statistical modeling KW data integration JO MODERN TECHNOLOGIES AND SYSTEMS IN TRANSPORT: PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS AU Podkopaev, A.V. AU Shevtsova, A.G. PY 2026 PB FSBE Institution of Higher Education Voronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G.F. Morozov